LunarWeaveBrazil Is Barely Richer Per Person Than It Was In 2013
IMF accounts show Brazil recrossed 2013 real output per person only in 2024, while 2022’s inflation spike has receded.
Research — Page 3
Standalone, data-led research into the questions behind the news.
Russia Is Larger Than Before The Invasion. The War Boom Is Over.
IMF accounts show Russia’s 2023–24 war boom slowing to about 1 percent growth, not an output collapse.
The Surplus On Hormuz Is Not Iran’s
IMF current-account books for 2024 put the large Gulf surplus in the UAE, Kuwait and Qatar, not Iran — the country a Hormuz blockade is meant to squeeze.
The Afghan Economy’s Rebound Never Reached Its People
IMF accounts show Afghanistan’s real output per person still about 28 percent below 2019, five years after the Taliban takeover.
Iraq’s Budget Was Already In The Red When The Strait Closed
IMF accounts show Iraq already running a 2025 deficit, with spending that does not fall when oil income does — the fiscal backdrop to the Hormuz blockade.
Two-Thirds Of France’s Electricity Still Comes From Nuclear Plants
France added wind and solar, but nuclear plants still generated 64% of its electricity in 2023 — which is why a jellyfish clog at Gravelines is a national grid story.
Colombia’s New Government Inherits A Stalled Economy And A 6 Percent Budget Hole
Colombia’s new government promised a cartel war just as a magnitude-7.4 earthquake hit. IMF accounts show growth already stalled and the budget deficit back near 6 percent of GDP; a $1bn US
India Can Fill Half Its Grid With Non-Fossil Plants And Still Run On Coal
IRENA shows India’s solar-led capacity boom through 2025, while 2023 generation was still three-quarters coal.
Russia’s Wartime Surplus Lasted One Year
IMF accounts show Russia’s 2022 current-account windfall collapsing by 2024, as export volumes fell and imports rebounded.
The July Job Loss Was On Local School Payrolls
July 2026’s 23,000-job loss was real in later BLS data, but private payrolls still rose. Local public education accounted for almost all of the decline, on top of a year of stall-speed hirin
A Wind Giant On Land, A Rounding Error At Sea
IRENA capacity data show the United States had only 171 MW of offshore wind in 2025 — 0.11 percent of its wind fleet — so reported lease buyouts target an unbuilt ocean pipeline, not a worki
Ghana Locked The Cocoa Trees After The Beans’ Price Tripled
Ghana criminalized converting cocoa farms after world cocoa prices tripled in the IMF series — a spike the Fund already assumes will halve.
